Pennsylvania Election Day
It won't matter the proverbial hill o' beans.
You see, the Democratic primaries hand out delegates proportionately. Clinton won 66 delegates, and Obama won 57. That puts the total at Clinton at 1,575 and Obama at 1,705. She picked up a grand total of 9 delegates.
There are five more primaries to go. Even if Clinton wins the rest of them as solidly as she did in Pennsylvania, she still has fewer delegates going into the convention.
So, the election is going to be decided by the super delegates.
Now, Democrat voters fall into four categories:
1) Purely emotional voters - Their largest constituency. Students, idealists, guilty white liberals, your typical "angry liberals" who want to "get even with the big mean corporations", the "stop the war" voters, and those mesmerized by Obama's empty rhetoric of change change change. Cause and effect means nothing to these people, and they often have a reality disconnect.
2) Uninformed "here-say" voters - Their second biggest constituency, and Hillary Clinton's biggest voting block. All they know is that things were good in the 90's and they hear a lot about how bad things are (yet almost everyone they know seems to be fine) and that gas is expensive. They believe that the war is costing us trillions and trillions of dollars and is by far the biggest chunk of the federal budget, surpassing even Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and Welfare combined (even though the war is costing about 3-4% of the federal budget, where as the four big entitlements are about 60%). A lot of retired people and working people fall into this category.
3) Societal leech voters - Welfare recipients. 'Nuff said.
4) Power-broker voters - Very small group. These are the politicians themselves, the very wealthy who are using the left to further their own financial interests, trial lawyers, sellers and producers of "green" goods, and union bosses.
So, given the above voting demographics, one of three things can happen:
A) Barry Hussein Obama goes into the convention with more delegates and the super delegates give him the nomination. Large portions of group 2 are disgusted, because lets face it, a lot of them are racist, especially the older folks. Of all of the older people I know that will openly discuss these things, a full 75% outright refuse to vote for Obama because of his race. The somewhat likely result: President McCain.
B) Hillary Clinton goes into the convention with fewer delegates and the super delegates give her the nomination. Group 1 could very will riot if this happens. The Democrats lose the black vote for the next 40 years when they realize that they are merely being used, but when one of their own is in the position to win, the elites say "No no, little black man. Get back in your place." The very likely result: President McCain.
C) The ticket of Obama / Clinton or Clinton / Obama runs. Given their egos, the likely result: Hell freezes over.
Now, I say "likely" result because one can never underestimate the Republican talent of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. I think the Democrats will pick up votes in the House and keep the Senate. If scenario A plays out and Obama actually does win the Presidency with a Democrat House and Senate, the economy will tank. No, I'm not saying "may" tank, I'm saying "WILL" tank! Obama doesn't understand the concept of cause and effect. Given who he has chosen for his pastor, he doesn't like America, he doesn't like whitey, and his economic plan is just plain tongue out retarded.
He will raise taxes on the rich, thus killing job growth. He will almost double capital gains taxes, thus killing investment. And he will put an extra special revenge tax on the oil companies, thus causing a HUGE spike in gas prices, which will echo throughout the economy in the forms of higher prices without wage increases to go with it. Not to mention the fact that when he pulls out of Iraq, a civil war will erupt and oil prices will hit $200 a barrel almost overnight. The dollar will continue to slide and there vision of a world filled with "Rainbows and Puppies for everyone" will vanish as the cold hard teeth of reality take a huge bite out of the hope & change dream, leaving it dying, spewing blood from a gaping wound.
The left will try to blame it on the Bush administration, crying about how they are trying to do their best to fix the mess he left us in, but after four years of just making things worse, we shall be looking at a Conservative Republican triple crown victory in 2012, and thus Conservative Republican rule for at least the next 12 years.
Your thoughts?




2 Comments:
For the most part, this seems as plausible as any analysis I've heard. But...
Where do you figure we get a conservative president 2012 if the Dems win this year? The GOP is trending away from conservatives, as evidenced by the strong showing by Giuliani last year, the nomination of McCain, and the lack of credible truly conservative candidates this year. (I mean, c'mon! Duncan Hunter? Fred Thompson? Please!)
I once hear some wise words... I think on your blog, actually, by a commenter:
"Sometimes, you need a Carter before you can get a Reagan."
The GOP was moving left after Nixon too, if I remember correctly. Ford was the McCain of the time. Lost to Carter. Then we got Reagan.
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